Incumbent Republican Riley Moore faces Democrat Ace Parsi in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, following Moore’s unopposed primary win and Parsi’s narrow Democratic primary victory on May 12. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 partisan rating and consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.9%. Limited recent developments since the primaries have left the race’s fundamentals unchanged. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or an unexpected national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$66,309 거래량
$66,309 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$66,309 거래량
$66,309 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$40,195 거래량
96%
Democratic Party
$26,114 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore faces Democrat Ace Parsi in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, following Moore’s unopposed primary win and Parsi’s narrow Democratic primary victory on May 12. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 partisan rating and consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.9%. Limited recent developments since the primaries have left the race’s fundamentals unchanged. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or an unexpected national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$66,309종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore faces Democrat Ace Parsi in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, following Moore’s unopposed primary win and Parsi’s narrow Democratic primary victory on May 12. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 partisan rating and consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.9%. Limited recent developments since the primaries have left the race’s fundamentals unchanged. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or an unexpected national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$66,309종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Riley Moore faces Democrat Ace Parsi in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, following Moore’s unopposed primary win and Parsi’s narrow Democratic primary victory on May 12. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 partisan rating and consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.9%. Limited recent developments since the primaries have left the race’s fundamentals unchanged. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or an unexpected national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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