The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,439 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$1,357 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$4,796종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,796종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 9th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries, while Republican opposition remains limited to a single declared candidate. These structural factors, including the district's South Shore and Cape Cod composition that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, account for the current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary or significant shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in this seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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