Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross anchors the strong trader consensus in New Jersey's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan analysts rate it solid or safe Democratic. Norcross faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee has raised negligible funds and lacks visibility. These structural factors, including the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, underpin the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national swing could narrow the margin before November, yet no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,412 거래량
$19,412 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$19,412 거래량
$19,412 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$14,985 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$4,427 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross anchors the strong trader consensus in New Jersey's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan analysts rate it solid or safe Democratic. Norcross faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee has raised negligible funds and lacks visibility. These structural factors, including the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, underpin the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national swing could narrow the margin before November, yet no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$19,412종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross anchors the strong trader consensus in New Jersey's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan analysts rate it solid or safe Democratic. Norcross faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee has raised negligible funds and lacks visibility. These structural factors, including the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, underpin the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national swing could narrow the margin before November, yet no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,412종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross anchors the strong trader consensus in New Jersey's 1st congressional district, where the seat carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan analysts rate it solid or safe Democratic. Norcross faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, while the Republican nominee has raised negligible funds and lacks visibility. These structural factors, including the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, underpin the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national swing could narrow the margin before November, yet no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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