Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant March 10 Democratic primary win, securing 86% of the vote against two challengers, reinforces trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 78.5% for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's D+11 partisan voter index—ranking it the 120th most Democratic nationally, with Kamala Harris carrying 60% in 2024—pairs with Thompson's track record of 20-30 point general election victories and a massive fundraising edge, holding $1.4 million cash-on-hand through late March versus Republican nominee Ron Eller's $37,000. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot, where low GOP turnout in a majority-minority district caps upset potential barring unforeseen scandals or national wave shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,837 거래량
$16,837 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
14%
$16,837 거래량
$16,837 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$9,546 거래량
74%
Republican Party
$7,292 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant March 10 Democratic primary win, securing 86% of the vote against two challengers, reinforces trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 78.5% for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's D+11 partisan voter index—ranking it the 120th most Democratic nationally, with Kamala Harris carrying 60% in 2024—pairs with Thompson's track record of 20-30 point general election victories and a massive fundraising edge, holding $1.4 million cash-on-hand through late March versus Republican nominee Ron Eller's $37,000. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot, where low GOP turnout in a majority-minority district caps upset potential barring unforeseen scandals or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$16,837종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant March 10 Democratic primary win, securing 86% of the vote against two challengers, reinforces trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 78.5% for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's D+11 partisan voter index—ranking it the 120th most Democratic nationally, with Kamala Harris carrying 60% in 2024—pairs with Thompson's track record of 20-30 point general election victories and a massive fundraising edge, holding $1.4 million cash-on-hand through late March versus Republican nominee Ron Eller's $37,000. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot, where low GOP turnout in a majority-minority district caps upset potential barring unforeseen scandals or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,837종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant March 10 Democratic primary win, securing 86% of the vote against two challengers, reinforces trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 78.5% for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's D+11 partisan voter index—ranking it the 120th most Democratic nationally, with Kamala Harris carrying 60% in 2024—pairs with Thompson's track record of 20-30 point general election victories and a massive fundraising edge, holding $1.4 million cash-on-hand through late March versus Republican nominee Ron Eller's $37,000. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot, where low GOP turnout in a majority-minority district caps upset potential barring unforeseen scandals or national wave shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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