Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,063 거래량
$10,063 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
22%
$10,063 거래량
$10,063 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,209 거래량
79%
Democratic Party
$5,854 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$10,063종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,063종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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