Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the open seat created by incumbent Andy Biggs's decision to run for governor. The district's R+10 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House races underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Mark Lamb, the former Pinal County sheriff and Trump-endorsed candidate, holds a commanding lead in Republican primary polling for the July 21 contest against Daniel Keenan. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered but face structural disadvantages in the Maricopa County-based district. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,992 거래량
$10,992 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
$10,992 거래량
$10,992 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,134 거래량
81%
Democratic Party
$3,858 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the open seat created by incumbent Andy Biggs's decision to run for governor. The district's R+10 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House races underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Mark Lamb, the former Pinal County sheriff and Trump-endorsed candidate, holds a commanding lead in Republican primary polling for the July 21 contest against Daniel Keenan. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered but face structural disadvantages in the Maricopa County-based district. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$10,992종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the open seat created by incumbent Andy Biggs's decision to run for governor. The district's R+10 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House races underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Mark Lamb, the former Pinal County sheriff and Trump-endorsed candidate, holds a commanding lead in Republican primary polling for the July 21 contest against Daniel Keenan. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered but face structural disadvantages in the Maricopa County-based district. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,992종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the open seat created by incumbent Andy Biggs's decision to run for governor. The district's R+10 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House races underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Mark Lamb, the former Pinal County sheriff and Trump-endorsed candidate, holds a commanding lead in Republican primary polling for the July 21 contest against Daniel Keenan. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered but face structural disadvantages in the Maricopa County-based district. No major shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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