Trader consensus favors Republicans at 79% in the TX-38 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, with a Cook PVI of R+12 and prior GOP wins exceeding 62% against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who returns as nominee after her March 3 primary victory. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn robust GOP fundraising, led by Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck ($1.48 million raised) over West Houston Airport President Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 primary runoff. McDonough trails significantly at $48,000 raised, underscoring limited Democratic path in this Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with no general election polls shifting sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,537 거래량
$14,537 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
82%
민주당
20%
$14,537 거래량
$14,537 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,882 거래량
82%
민주당
$4,654 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 79% in the TX-38 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, with a Cook PVI of R+12 and prior GOP wins exceeding 62% against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who returns as nominee after her March 3 primary victory. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn robust GOP fundraising, led by Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck ($1.48 million raised) over West Houston Airport President Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 primary runoff. McDonough trails significantly at $48,000 raised, underscoring limited Democratic path in this Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with no general election polls shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$14,537종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 79% in the TX-38 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, with a Cook PVI of R+12 and prior GOP wins exceeding 62% against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who returns as nominee after her March 3 primary victory. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn robust GOP fundraising, led by Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck ($1.48 million raised) over West Houston Airport President Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 primary runoff. McDonough trails significantly at $48,000 raised, underscoring limited Democratic path in this Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with no general election polls shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,537종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 79% in the TX-38 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, with a Cook PVI of R+12 and prior GOP wins exceeding 62% against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who returns as nominee after her March 3 primary victory. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn robust GOP fundraising, led by Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck ($1.48 million raised) over West Houston Airport President Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 primary runoff. McDonough trails significantly at $48,000 raised, underscoring limited Democratic path in this Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with no general election polls shifting sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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