Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces a Democratic challenger in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a partisan voting index of R+6. Recent May 2026 polling shows Flood holding narrow leads over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in head-to-head matchups, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially splitting opposition votes. The district’s voting patterns, including stronger Republican performance in the 2024 presidential election, combined with Flood’s unopposed primary and established incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout in Lancaster County and any late shifts in the competitive environment before November voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,808 거래량
$21,808 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
84%
민주당
12%
$21,808 거래량
$21,808 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,567 거래량
84%
민주당
$10,241 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces a Democratic challenger in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a partisan voting index of R+6. Recent May 2026 polling shows Flood holding narrow leads over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in head-to-head matchups, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially splitting opposition votes. The district’s voting patterns, including stronger Republican performance in the 2024 presidential election, combined with Flood’s unopposed primary and established incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout in Lancaster County and any late shifts in the competitive environment before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$21,808종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces a Democratic challenger in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a partisan voting index of R+6. Recent May 2026 polling shows Flood holding narrow leads over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in head-to-head matchups, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially splitting opposition votes. The district’s voting patterns, including stronger Republican performance in the 2024 presidential election, combined with Flood’s unopposed primary and established incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout in Lancaster County and any late shifts in the competitive environment before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,808종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Flood faces a Democratic challenger in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a partisan voting index of R+6. Recent May 2026 polling shows Flood holding narrow leads over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer in head-to-head matchups, with an independent candidate also on the ballot potentially splitting opposition votes. The district’s voting patterns, including stronger Republican performance in the 2024 presidential election, combined with Flood’s unopposed primary and established incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Key upcoming factors include general election turnout in Lancaster County and any late shifts in the competitive environment before November voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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