Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,495 거래량
$16,495 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
85%
공화당
12%
$16,495 거래량
$16,495 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,688 거래량
85%
공화당
$2,808 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$16,495종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,495종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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