Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton is seeking re-election and faces only a primary challenge from Kai Newkirk on July 21, while Republican contenders including Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall compete in their own primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's recent voting patterns and Stanton's incumbency advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered the competitive landscape.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,780 거래량
$16,780 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
88%
공화당
14%
$16,780 거래량
$16,780 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,972 거래량
88%
공화당
$2,808 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton is seeking re-election and faces only a primary challenge from Kai Newkirk on July 21, while Republican contenders including Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall compete in their own primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's recent voting patterns and Stanton's incumbency advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$16,780종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton is seeking re-election and faces only a primary challenge from Kai Newkirk on July 21, while Republican contenders including Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall compete in their own primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's recent voting patterns and Stanton's incumbency advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,780종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton is seeking re-election and faces only a primary challenge from Kai Newkirk on July 21, while Republican contenders including Zuhdi Jasser, Elizabeth Reye, and Alex Stovall compete in their own primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's recent voting patterns and Stanton's incumbency advantage, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered the competitive landscape.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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