Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,960 거래량
$19,960 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
44%
$19,960 거래량
$19,960 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$8,578 거래량
56%
Republican Party
$11,383 거래량
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$19,960종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,960종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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