Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's strong position in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District shapes current trader consensus, reflecting the seat's R+8 partisan lean and suburban Charlotte demographics that favored the GOP candidate by double digits in recent cycles. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced on the other side after a competitive contest. Recent polling shows Moore leading by single digits, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency advantages ahead of the November general election. The implied probability for a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive pressure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,245 거래량
$15,245 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
77%
민주당
22%
$15,245 거래량
$15,245 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$4,257 거래량
77%
민주당
$10,988 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's strong position in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District shapes current trader consensus, reflecting the seat's R+8 partisan lean and suburban Charlotte demographics that favored the GOP candidate by double digits in recent cycles. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced on the other side after a competitive contest. Recent polling shows Moore leading by single digits, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency advantages ahead of the November general election. The implied probability for a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$15,245종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's strong position in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District shapes current trader consensus, reflecting the seat's R+8 partisan lean and suburban Charlotte demographics that favored the GOP candidate by double digits in recent cycles. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced on the other side after a competitive contest. Recent polling shows Moore leading by single digits, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency advantages ahead of the November general election. The implied probability for a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,245종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's strong position in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District shapes current trader consensus, reflecting the seat's R+8 partisan lean and suburban Charlotte demographics that favored the GOP candidate by double digits in recent cycles. Moore secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced on the other side after a competitive contest. Recent polling shows Moore leading by single digits, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency advantages ahead of the November general election. The implied probability for a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive pressure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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