Park Soo-hyun's commanding 90% implied probability reflects her April 15 victory in the Democratic Party's runoff primary, defeating former governor Yang Seung-jo to become the opposition nominee challenging People Power Party incumbent Kim Tae-heum in the June 3 gubernatorial election. Pre-nomination polls, such as an early April survey showing Park at 50% to Kim's 31%, highlight robust Democratic support in Chungcheongnam-do amid national trends favoring the opposition, contrasting Kim's narrow 2022 re-election. Traders view her position as secure six weeks out, though late scandals, gaffes, legal issues, or a conservative turnout surge could erode the lead in this direct popular vote contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트박수현 90.3%
양승조 4.1%
김태흠 1.4%
윤상현 <1%
$1,068,496 거래량
$1,068,496 거래량
박수현
90%
양승조
4%
김태흠
1%
윤상현
<1%
문진석
<1%
강훈식
<1%
정진석
<1%
강승규
<1%
성일종
<1%
박수현 90.3%
양승조 4.1%
김태흠 1.4%
윤상현 <1%
$1,068,496 거래량
$1,068,496 거래량
박수현
90%
양승조
4%
김태흠
1%
윤상현
<1%
문진석
<1%
강훈식
<1%
정진석
<1%
강승규
<1%
성일종
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Park Soo-hyun's commanding 90% implied probability reflects her April 15 victory in the Democratic Party's runoff primary, defeating former governor Yang Seung-jo to become the opposition nominee challenging People Power Party incumbent Kim Tae-heum in the June 3 gubernatorial election. Pre-nomination polls, such as an early April survey showing Park at 50% to Kim's 31%, highlight robust Democratic support in Chungcheongnam-do amid national trends favoring the opposition, contrasting Kim's narrow 2022 re-election. Traders view her position as secure six weeks out, though late scandals, gaffes, legal issues, or a conservative turnout surge could erode the lead in this direct popular vote contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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