The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement has produced an open seat in a Brooklyn-Queens area that has not elected a Republican in decades, with no credible GOP challenger emerging ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary among Assembly Member Claire Valdez, Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, and others remains the decisive contest, as the winner is expected to prevail comfortably. A late Republican surge or unforeseen primary disruption could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and fundraising trends make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,235 거래량
$21,235 거래량
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$21,235 거래량
$21,235 거래량
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement has produced an open seat in a Brooklyn-Queens area that has not elected a Republican in decades, with no credible GOP challenger emerging ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary among Assembly Member Claire Valdez, Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, and others remains the decisive contest, as the winner is expected to prevail comfortably. A late Republican surge or unforeseen primary disruption could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and fundraising trends make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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