The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the current trader consensus. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement creates an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary among progressive candidates is unlikely to alter the general election outcome on November 3. Republicans have fielded nominees, yet historical results and the district's voter composition in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods limit their viability. A national Republican wave or major primary fallout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and low crossover appeal make such shifts improbable before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,235 거래량
$21,235 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$21,235 거래량
$21,235 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$11,501 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$9,734 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the current trader consensus. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement creates an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary among progressive candidates is unlikely to alter the general election outcome on November 3. Republicans have fielded nominees, yet historical results and the district's voter composition in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods limit their viability. A national Republican wave or major primary fallout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and low crossover appeal make such shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$21,235종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the current trader consensus. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement creates an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary among progressive candidates is unlikely to alter the general election outcome on November 3. Republicans have fielded nominees, yet historical results and the district's voter composition in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods limit their viability. A national Republican wave or major primary fallout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and low crossover appeal make such shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,235종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the current trader consensus. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement creates an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary among progressive candidates is unlikely to alter the general election outcome on November 3. Republicans have fielded nominees, yet historical results and the district's voter composition in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods limit their viability. A national Republican wave or major primary fallout could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and low crossover appeal make such shifts improbable before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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