Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the open race following incumbent Barry Moore's decision to run for U.S. Senate instead of reelection. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican due to its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, while the Democratic nominee faces an uphill path in a district where the Republican primary winner is expected to prevail in November. A competitive Republican primary featuring former Representative Jerry Carl and State Representative Rhett Marques has drawn attention, but the outcome is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory absent major shifts. Late developments such as candidate scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic challenges to the current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$37,405 거래량
$37,405 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
6%
$37,405 거래량
$37,405 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$17,945 거래량
93%
민주당
$19,460 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the open race following incumbent Barry Moore's decision to run for U.S. Senate instead of reelection. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican due to its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, while the Democratic nominee faces an uphill path in a district where the Republican primary winner is expected to prevail in November. A competitive Republican primary featuring former Representative Jerry Carl and State Representative Rhett Marques has drawn attention, but the outcome is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory absent major shifts. Late developments such as candidate scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic challenges to the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
거래량
$37,405종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the open race following incumbent Barry Moore's decision to run for U.S. Senate instead of reelection. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican due to its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, while the Democratic nominee faces an uphill path in a district where the Republican primary winner is expected to prevail in November. A competitive Republican primary featuring former Representative Jerry Carl and State Representative Rhett Marques has drawn attention, but the outcome is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory absent major shifts. Late developments such as candidate scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic challenges to the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$37,405종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the open race following incumbent Barry Moore's decision to run for U.S. Senate instead of reelection. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican due to its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, while the Democratic nominee faces an uphill path in a district where the Republican primary winner is expected to prevail in November. A competitive Republican primary featuring former Representative Jerry Carl and State Representative Rhett Marques has drawn attention, but the outcome is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory absent major shifts. Late developments such as candidate scandals, health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic challenges to the current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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