Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$62 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$62종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$62종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bob Onder (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by 26 points over Democrat Bethany Mann and dominant fundraising with over $367,000 cash on hand as of late March compared to Democrats' minimal totals under $25,000 combined. The August 4 primaries feature Onder facing token Republican opposition from John Fraser while Democrats splinter among Bethany Mann, Tommy Holstein, Alexander Thurmon, and Paul Wilson in a district safe for Republicans per Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Absent a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave, the race lacks competitive dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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