**Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to retain California's 20th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by his decisive 2024 special and full-term victories in this Republican-leaning Central Valley seat spanning Kern County and agriculture-heavy areas.** With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Fong faces limited opposition from Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and independents Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, reinforcing his fundraising and name-recognition advantages amid quiet recent campaigning. No major developments in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge this positioning, though a Democratic surge via national midterm turnout, primary upset advancing a stronger challenger, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,356 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$4,703 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to retain California's 20th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by his decisive 2024 special and full-term victories in this Republican-leaning Central Valley seat spanning Kern County and agriculture-heavy areas.** With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Fong faces limited opposition from Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and independents Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, reinforcing his fundraising and name-recognition advantages amid quiet recent campaigning. No major developments in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge this positioning, though a Democratic surge via national midterm turnout, primary upset advancing a stronger challenger, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$8,059종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to retain California's 20th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by his decisive 2024 special and full-term victories in this Republican-leaning Central Valley seat spanning Kern County and agriculture-heavy areas.** With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Fong faces limited opposition from Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and independents Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, reinforcing his fundraising and name-recognition advantages amid quiet recent campaigning. No major developments in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge this positioning, though a Democratic surge via national midterm turnout, primary upset advancing a stronger challenger, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,059종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to retain California's 20th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by his decisive 2024 special and full-term victories in this Republican-leaning Central Valley seat spanning Kern County and agriculture-heavy areas.** With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Fong faces limited opposition from Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and independents Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, reinforcing his fundraising and name-recognition advantages amid quiet recent campaigning. No major developments in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge this positioning, though a Democratic surge via national midterm turnout, primary upset advancing a stronger challenger, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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