Maryland's third congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its Baltimore-area demographics and longstanding voting patterns, which underpin the trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge entering the June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary features lower-profile candidates with limited statewide visibility. The district's partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 30 points reflect consistent support for Democratic positions on key issues such as healthcare and infrastructure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, though scenarios including a significant national political shift or unforeseen primary disruption could still affect the November 2026 outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,761 거래량
$22,761 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,761 거래량
$22,761 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$15,939 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$6,822 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's third congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its Baltimore-area demographics and longstanding voting patterns, which underpin the trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge entering the June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary features lower-profile candidates with limited statewide visibility. The district's partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 30 points reflect consistent support for Democratic positions on key issues such as healthcare and infrastructure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, though scenarios including a significant national political shift or unforeseen primary disruption could still affect the November 2026 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$22,761종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's third congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its Baltimore-area demographics and longstanding voting patterns, which underpin the trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge entering the June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary features lower-profile candidates with limited statewide visibility. The district's partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 30 points reflect consistent support for Democratic positions on key issues such as healthcare and infrastructure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, though scenarios including a significant national political shift or unforeseen primary disruption could still affect the November 2026 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,761종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's third congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its Baltimore-area demographics and longstanding voting patterns, which underpin the trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge entering the June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary features lower-profile candidates with limited statewide visibility. The district's partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 30 points reflect consistent support for Democratic positions on key issues such as healthcare and infrastructure. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, though scenarios including a significant national political shift or unforeseen primary disruption could still affect the November 2026 outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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