Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party at 93.5 percent to capture the seat in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces a primary on June 23 against several challengers, yet the district’s partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles limit Republican prospects. The Republican primary field remains fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in the general election absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or national political realignment that substantially alters turnout patterns in this D+12 territory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,066 거래량
$26,066 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$26,066 거래량
$26,066 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$19,244 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$6,822 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party at 93.5 percent to capture the seat in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces a primary on June 23 against several challengers, yet the district’s partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles limit Republican prospects. The Republican primary field remains fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in the general election absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or national political realignment that substantially alters turnout patterns in this D+12 territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$26,066종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party at 93.5 percent to capture the seat in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces a primary on June 23 against several challengers, yet the district’s partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles limit Republican prospects. The Republican primary field remains fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in the general election absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or national political realignment that substantially alters turnout patterns in this D+12 territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,066종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party at 93.5 percent to capture the seat in November 2026. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces a primary on June 23 against several challengers, yet the district’s partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles limit Republican prospects. The Republican primary field remains fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in the general election absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or national political realignment that substantially alters turnout patterns in this D+12 territory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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