Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ギニアビサウ国民議会選挙の勝者
ギニアビサウ国民議会選挙の勝者
プラットフォーマ・レウプブリカーナ「ノ・クンプ・ギネ」 36.6%
FLING 9.4%
PS 5.8%
FREPASNA 3.8%
$142,422 Vol.
$142,422 Vol.
2025/11/23
プラットフォーマ・レウプブリカーナ「ノ・クンプ・ギネ」
37%
FLING
9%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
<1%
プラットフォーマ・レウプブリカーナ「ノ・クンプ・ギネ」 36.6%
FLING 9.4%
PS 5.8%
FREPASNA 3.8%
$142,422 Vol.
$142,422 Vol.
2025/11/23
プラットフォーマ・レウプブリカーナ「ノ・クンプ・ギネ」
$40,775 Vol.
37%
FLING
$12,052 Vol.
9%
PS
$23,605 Vol.
6%
FREPASNA
$23,783 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$21,508 Vol.
3%
PT
$20,698 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
マーケット開始日： Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
音量
$142,422終了日
2025/11/23マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
音量
$142,422終了日
2025/11/23マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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