President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 election victory and subsequent aggressive administration transition, including over a dozen cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, underscore his intent to serve a full second term, driving the 95% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No official statements, health disclosures, or escalating legal pressures—like paused federal cases post-election—have surfaced in the past month to suggest otherwise, with focus instead on executive actions targeting immigration, tariffs, and agency reforms. While late-breaking scandals, unforeseen health events, or congressional opposition to key confirmations could shift dynamics, current developments reinforce market pricing reflecting the wisdom of crowds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Oui
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 election victory and subsequent aggressive administration transition, including over a dozen cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, underscore his intent to serve a full second term, driving the 95% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No official statements, health disclosures, or escalating legal pressures—like paused federal cases post-election—have surfaced in the past month to suggest otherwise, with focus instead on executive actions targeting immigration, tariffs, and agency reforms. While late-breaking scandals, unforeseen health events, or congressional opposition to key confirmations could shift dynamics, current developments reinforce market pricing reflecting the wisdom of crowds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 election victory and subsequent aggressive administration transition, including over a dozen cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, underscore his intent to serve a full second term, driving the 95% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No official statements, health disclosures, or escalating legal pressures—like paused federal cases post-election—have surfaced in the past month to suggest otherwise, with focus instead on executive actions targeting immigration, tariffs, and agency reforms. While late-breaking scandals, unforeseen health events, or congressional opposition to key confirmations could shift dynamics, current developments reinforce market pricing reflecting the wisdom of crowds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump's decisive 2024 election victory and subsequent aggressive administration transition, including over a dozen cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, underscore his intent to serve a full second term, driving the 95% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No official statements, health disclosures, or escalating legal pressures—like paused federal cases post-election—have surfaced in the past month to suggest otherwise, with focus instead on executive actions targeting immigration, tariffs, and agency reforms. While late-breaking scandals, unforeseen health events, or congressional opposition to key confirmations could shift dynamics, current developments reinforce market pricing reflecting the wisdom of crowds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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