Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Wellington on March 20, driven by MetService New Zealand's latest forecasts showing cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and a cool air mass capping highs at 16-18°C under overcast skies. Ensemble models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS align, projecting daytime maxima around 17°C amid post-frontal stability following recent rain. Historical March averages hover at 19°C, but current synoptic patterns—featuring a blocking high to the south—suppress warming, with low humidity limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northerly shift or clear skies boosting insolation by 2-3°C, though low-pressure dominance makes hotter outcomes improbable per model probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 20 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 20 mars ?
17°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$8,907 Vol.
$8,907 Vol.
13°C ou moins
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C ou plus
Non
17°C 100.0%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$8,907 Vol.
$8,907 Vol.
13°C ou moins
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Wellington on March 20, driven by MetService New Zealand's latest forecasts showing cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and a cool air mass capping highs at 16-18°C under overcast skies. Ensemble models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS align, projecting daytime maxima around 17°C amid post-frontal stability following recent rain. Historical March averages hover at 19°C, but current synoptic patterns—featuring a blocking high to the south—suppress warming, with low humidity limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northerly shift or clear skies boosting insolation by 2-3°C, though low-pressure dominance makes hotter outcomes improbable per model probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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