Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 20 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 20 mars ?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F ou moins <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$382,425 Vol.
$382,425 Vol.
43°F ou moins
Non
44-45°F
Non
46-47°F
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53°F
Oui
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62°F ou plus
Non
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F ou moins <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$382,425 Vol.
$382,425 Vol.
43°F ou moins
Non
44-45°F
Non
46-47°F
Non
48-49°F
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53°F
Oui
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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