Trader sentiment on Ankara's highest temperature March 27 clusters around 16-17°C at over 50% combined implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into central Turkey, with mean projections of 16.5°C. Differentiating factors include slight model divergences: ECMWF leans warmer (17°C peak in 30% of members) due to clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, while GFS variants pull toward 15-16°C amid potential afternoon showers, per Turkish State Meteorological Service updates. Historical late-March norms hover at 13-14°C, but current soil warming and minimal cold air advection boost odds for the mid-teens cluster over cooler outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 27 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 27 mars ?
17°C 28%
16°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 18%
11°C ou moins
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
17%
16°C
23%
17°C
28%
18°C
17%
19°C
14%
20°C
12%
21°C ou plus
8%
17°C 28%
16°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 18%
11°C ou moins
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
17%
16°C
23%
17°C
28%
18°C
17%
19°C
14%
20°C
12%
21°C ou plus
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Ankara's highest temperature March 27 clusters around 16-17°C at over 50% combined implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into central Turkey, with mean projections of 16.5°C. Differentiating factors include slight model divergences: ECMWF leans warmer (17°C peak in 30% of members) due to clearer skies and reduced cloud cover, while GFS variants pull toward 15-16°C amid potential afternoon showers, per Turkish State Meteorological Service updates. Historical late-March norms hover at 13-14°C, but current soil warming and minimal cold air advection boost odds for the mid-teens cluster over cooler outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes