Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous decision to pause on February 26 amid balanced economic risks. Stable headline CPI near the 2% target in February—core inflation rose modestly to 2.46%—and upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 2% have solidified the neutral stance signaled by the BOK's new dot plot, with most members projecting no change over the next six months. Elevated odds for a hike (20.5%) stem from won depreciation and housing market pressures, while cut expectations remain subdued at 11.5% due to financial stability concerns; traders eye April 9 data ahead of the May 28-30 meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 63%
Increase 21%
Decrease 12%
Decrease
12%
No Change
63%
Increase
21%
No Change 63%
Increase 21%
Decrease 12%
Decrease
12%
No Change
63%
Increase
21%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous decision to pause on February 26 amid balanced economic risks. Stable headline CPI near the 2% target in February—core inflation rose modestly to 2.46%—and upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 2% have solidified the neutral stance signaled by the BOK's new dot plot, with most members projecting no change over the next six months. Elevated odds for a hike (20.5%) stem from won depreciation and housing market pressures, while cut expectations remain subdued at 11.5% due to financial stability concerns; traders eye April 9 data ahead of the May 28-30 meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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