Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% in its May 30 decision, reflecting cooling headline inflation—April CPI eased to 2.5% year-over-year from March's 2.9%—yet persistent core pressures around 2.3% and robust semiconductor exports bolstering growth. The 21% odds for a hike appear driven by upside risks from U.S. policy divergence and household debt dynamics, while a 11.5% chance of easing underscores sticky services inflation above the 2% target amid weak domestic demand. Recent BOK minutes emphasized data-dependence, with no immediate pivot signaled; watch upcoming GDP data and the June meeting for shifts in rate path expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 62%
Increase 22%
Decrease 12%
Decrease
12%
No Change
62%
Increase
22%
No Change 62%
Increase 22%
Decrease 12%
Decrease
12%
No Change
62%
Increase
22%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% in its May 30 decision, reflecting cooling headline inflation—April CPI eased to 2.5% year-over-year from March's 2.9%—yet persistent core pressures around 2.3% and robust semiconductor exports bolstering growth. The 21% odds for a hike appear driven by upside risks from U.S. policy divergence and household debt dynamics, while a 11.5% chance of easing underscores sticky services inflation above the 2% target amid weak domestic demand. Recent BOK minutes emphasized data-dependence, with no immediate pivot signaled; watch upcoming GDP data and the June meeting for shifts in rate path expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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