Trader consensus heavily favors no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at its March 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with No Change at 98.2%, driven by February inflation steady at 2% within the 1-3% target after edging up from January's 1.8%. The February 23 decision held rates at 4% amid heightened geopolitical tensions with Iran fueling inflation fears, moderating cut expectations despite prior reductions in January and November 2025. Stable shekel strength and contained price pressures reinforce the pause. Scenarios challenging this include surprise March CPI spikes, sharp currency weakening, or de-escalation enabling cuts—though such shifts remain improbable absent major developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque d'Israël en mars ?
Décision de la Banque d'Israël en mars ?
Pas de changement 98.4%
Baisse 1.4%
Augmentation 1.3%
$27,348 Vol.
$27,348 Vol.
Baisse
1%
Pas de changement
98%
Augmentation
1%
Pas de changement 98.4%
Baisse 1.4%
Augmentation 1.3%
$27,348 Vol.
$27,348 Vol.
Baisse
1%
Pas de changement
98%
Augmentation
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at its March 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with No Change at 98.2%, driven by February inflation steady at 2% within the 1-3% target after edging up from January's 1.8%. The February 23 decision held rates at 4% amid heightened geopolitical tensions with Iran fueling inflation fears, moderating cut expectations despite prior reductions in January and November 2025. Stable shekel strength and contained price pressures reinforce the pause. Scenarios challenging this include surprise March CPI spikes, sharp currency weakening, or de-escalation enabling cuts—though such shifts remain improbable absent major developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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