Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% following the April 9 meeting, driven by February 2026 CPI inflation holding stable at 2.0% year-over-year—within the central bank's target—and core CPI at 2.3%, signaling balanced price pressures amid improved growth outlooks. The BoK's February 26 decision to maintain rates unchanged for a fifth straight meeting, coupled with its dot-plot signaling a policy pause through 2026, has solidified this positioning despite a weakening Korean won. Realistic challenges include a sharp inflation spike from elevated oil prices or unexpected global shocks, potentially prompting a rate adjustment, with March CPI data due before the decision as a key watchpoint.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Corée en avril ?
Décision de la Banque de Corée en avril ?
Aucun changement 95%
Baisse 3.0%
Augmentation 2.1%
$21,390 Vol.
$21,390 Vol.
Baisse
3%
Aucun changement
95%
Augmentation
2%
Aucun changement 95%
Baisse 3.0%
Augmentation 2.1%
$21,390 Vol.
$21,390 Vol.
Baisse
3%
Aucun changement
95%
Augmentation
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% following the April 9 meeting, driven by February 2026 CPI inflation holding stable at 2.0% year-over-year—within the central bank's target—and core CPI at 2.3%, signaling balanced price pressures amid improved growth outlooks. The BoK's February 26 decision to maintain rates unchanged for a fifth straight meeting, coupled with its dot-plot signaling a policy pause through 2026, has solidified this positioning despite a weakening Korean won. Realistic challenges include a sharp inflation spike from elevated oil prices or unexpected global shocks, potentially prompting a rate adjustment, with March CPI data due before the decision as a key watchpoint.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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