Polymarket traders price a 59% implied probability for the March 2026 U.S. average retail price of a dozen Grade A large eggs landing in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply rebound from 2025 avian influenza outbreaks that had driven prices to record highs above $6 per dozen. Bureau of Labor Statistics February data showed the national city average at $2.50, down 42% year-over-year, while USDA's March 27 Egg Markets Overview reported advertised prices falling to a 2026 low of $1.80 amid ample layer flocks and moderate demand. Table egg production rose 4.6% annually, with wholesale benchmarks like conventional large whites at $1.28 by late March, though Easter demand tempers the downside ahead of BLS March release. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 27.5% captures residual upside risk from any late-month volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 7.5%
$2.75–3.00 3.1%
$386,902 Vol.
$386,902 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
8%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 7.5%
$2.75–3.00 3.1%
$386,902 Vol.
$386,902 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
8%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 59% implied probability for the March 2026 U.S. average retail price of a dozen Grade A large eggs landing in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply rebound from 2025 avian influenza outbreaks that had driven prices to record highs above $6 per dozen. Bureau of Labor Statistics February data showed the national city average at $2.50, down 42% year-over-year, while USDA's March 27 Egg Markets Overview reported advertised prices falling to a 2026 low of $1.80 amid ample layer flocks and moderate demand. Table egg production rose 4.6% annually, with wholesale benchmarks like conventional large whites at $1.28 by late March, though Easter demand tempers the downside ahead of BLS March release. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 27.5% captures residual upside risk from any late-month volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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