Recent monthly CPI readings have positioned the 1.1–1.5% range as the leading outcome for China’s 2026 annual inflation, with April data accelerating to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—on higher non-food and transport costs tied to energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Subdued food prices and weak domestic demand continue to cap broader gains, keeping the full-year print likely near the lower end of historical norms. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether stimulus measures and global commodity trends can sustain this modest uptick through year-end, with May data and any further policy signals as near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle en Chine 2026
Inflation annuelle en Chine 2026
1,1 – 1,5 % 46%
-0,9 – -0,5 % 30.0%
1,6 – 2,0 % 21.0%
0,6 – 1,0 % 20%
$44,204 Vol.
$44,204 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<-1,0 %
2%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
20%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
3%
0,1 – 0,5 %
5%
0,6 – 1,0 %
20%
1,1 – 1,5 %
44%
1,6 – 2,0 %
21%
2,0–2,4 %
4%
2,5 %+
5%
1,1 – 1,5 % 46%
-0,9 – -0,5 % 30.0%
1,6 – 2,0 % 21.0%
0,6 – 1,0 % 20%
$44,204 Vol.
$44,204 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<-1,0 %
$18,711 Vol.
2%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
$2,717 Vol.
20%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
$3,759 Vol.
3%
0,1 – 0,5 %
$2,914 Vol.
5%
0,6 – 1,0 %
$3,018 Vol.
20%
1,1 – 1,5 %
$3,548 Vol.
44%
1,6 – 2,0 %
$4,027 Vol.
21%
2,0–2,4 %
$2,880 Vol.
4%
2,5 %+
$2,631 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings have positioned the 1.1–1.5% range as the leading outcome for China’s 2026 annual inflation, with April data accelerating to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—on higher non-food and transport costs tied to energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Subdued food prices and weak domestic demand continue to cap broader gains, keeping the full-year print likely near the lower end of historical norms. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether stimulus measures and global commodity trends can sustain this modest uptick through year-end, with May data and any further policy signals as near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$44,204Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings have positioned the 1.1–1.5% range as the leading outcome for China’s 2026 annual inflation, with April data accelerating to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—on higher non-food and transport costs tied to energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Subdued food prices and weak domestic demand continue to cap broader gains, keeping the full-year print likely near the lower end of historical norms. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether stimulus measures and global commodity trends can sustain this modest uptick through year-end, with May data and any further policy signals as near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$44,204Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings have positioned the 1.1–1.5% range as the leading outcome for China’s 2026 annual inflation, with April data accelerating to 1.2% year-over-year—above consensus—on higher non-food and transport costs tied to energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Subdued food prices and weak domestic demand continue to cap broader gains, keeping the full-year print likely near the lower end of historical norms. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether stimulus measures and global commodity trends can sustain this modest uptick through year-end, with May data and any further policy signals as near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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