March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—up sharply from 2.4% in February, propelled by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, and a 0.9% monthly headline gain. Core CPI rose 0.2% monthly to around 2.6%, while nowcasts point to core PCE nearing 3.2-3.4% for March. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot revised 2026-end PCE inflation upward to 2.7% from 2.4%, reflecting persistent pressures despite expectations of waning oil impacts later this year. Traders weigh this against the Fed's dual mandate, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release as key catalysts that could recalibrate rate cut odds and inflation trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$666,283 Vol.
Au-dessus de 3,5 %
84%
Au-dessus de 4 %
30%
Au-dessus de 5 %
18%
Au-dessus de 6 %
14%
Au-dessus de 8 %
8%
Au-dessus de 10 %
5%
$666,283 Vol.
Au-dessus de 3,5 %
84%
Au-dessus de 4 %
30%
Au-dessus de 5 %
18%
Au-dessus de 6 %
14%
Au-dessus de 8 %
8%
Au-dessus de 10 %
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—up sharply from 2.4% in February, propelled by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, and a 0.9% monthly headline gain. Core CPI rose 0.2% monthly to around 2.6%, while nowcasts point to core PCE nearing 3.2-3.4% for March. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot revised 2026-end PCE inflation upward to 2.7% from 2.4%, reflecting persistent pressures despite expectations of waning oil impacts later this year. Traders weigh this against the Fed's dual mandate, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release as key catalysts that could recalibrate rate cut odds and inflation trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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