Polymarket traders show closely matched sentiment for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 25-29.9% at 23.5% implied probability edging 20-24.9% at 22.5%, capturing optimism from President Milei's fiscal consolidation—marking the first primary surplus in 12 years—and steady monthly CPI deceleration to 4.0% in August from 4.2% prior, alongside Central Bank REM forecasts eyeing end-2025 rates near 23%. Differentiating factors hinge on peso stabilization via the 2% monthly crawling peg, commodity export resilience amid global demand, and midterm election risks in October 2025 that could disrupt austerity. September CPI data, due mid-October, and updated REM surveys represent pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock toward sub-25% territory if disinflation persists below 3% monthly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour25-29,9 % 24%
20-24,9 % 23%
30,0-34,9 % 11.0%
40-44,9 % 9.3%
NEW
NEW
Jan 10, 2027
<20 %
6%
20-24,9 %
23%
25-29,9 %
24%
30,0-34,9 %
10%
35–39,9 %
9%
40-44,9 %
9%
45 %+
6%
25-29,9 % 24%
20-24,9 % 23%
30,0-34,9 % 11.0%
40-44,9 % 9.3%
NEW
NEW
Jan 10, 2027
<20 %
$0 Vol.
6%
20-24,9 %
$0 Vol.
23%
25-29,9 %
$0 Vol.
24%
30,0-34,9 %
$367 Vol.
10%
35–39,9 %
$0 Vol.
9%
40-44,9 %
$0 Vol.
9%
45 %+
$0 Vol.
6%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders show closely matched sentiment for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 25-29.9% at 23.5% implied probability edging 20-24.9% at 22.5%, capturing optimism from President Milei's fiscal consolidation—marking the first primary surplus in 12 years—and steady monthly CPI deceleration to 4.0% in August from 4.2% prior, alongside Central Bank REM forecasts eyeing end-2025 rates near 23%. Differentiating factors hinge on peso stabilization via the 2% monthly crawling peg, commodity export resilience amid global demand, and midterm election risks in October 2025 that could disrupt austerity. September CPI data, due mid-October, and updated REM surveys represent pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock toward sub-25% territory if disinflation persists below 3% monthly.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$367Date de fin
Jan 10, 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders show closely matched sentiment for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 25-29.9% at 23.5% implied probability edging 20-24.9% at 22.5%, capturing optimism from President Milei's fiscal consolidation—marking the first primary surplus in 12 years—and steady monthly CPI deceleration to 4.0% in August from 4.2% prior, alongside Central Bank REM forecasts eyeing end-2025 rates near 23%. Differentiating factors hinge on peso stabilization via the 2% monthly crawling peg, commodity export resilience amid global demand, and midterm election risks in October 2025 that could disrupt austerity. September CPI data, due mid-October, and updated REM surveys represent pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock toward sub-25% territory if disinflation persists below 3% monthly.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$367Date de fin
Jan 10, 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show closely matched sentiment for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 25-29.9% at 23.5% implied probability edging 20-24.9% at 22.5%, capturing optimism from President Milei's fiscal consolidation—marking the first primary surplus in 12 years—and steady monthly CPI deceleration to 4.0% in August from 4.2% prior, alongside Central Bank REM forecasts eyeing end-2025 rates near 23%. Differentiating factors hinge on peso stabilization via the 2% monthly crawling peg, commodity export resilience amid global demand, and midterm election risks in October 2025 that could disrupt austerity. September CPI data, due mid-October, and updated REM surveys represent pivotal catalysts for breaking the deadlock toward sub-25% territory if disinflation persists below 3% monthly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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