Polymarket traders price a 31% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, edging out the 25% odds for 2.4-2.6%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent upside risks. The Bank of Korea's February outlook lifted its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.2% from 2.1%, citing robust semiconductor-driven growth, while February CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year—on target but below 2.1% expectations. Producer prices accelerated to a 19-month high of 2.4%, and Standard Chartered recently raised its projection to 2.4% assuming $85/barrel oil amid geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include sustained energy shocks versus potential BoK tightening; March CPI data, due soon, could sway positioning toward higher brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour3,0 % + 31%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 25%
1,8 % à 2,0 % 25%
1,5 % à 1,7 % 22%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<1,5 %
18%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
22%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
25%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
19%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
25%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
19%
3,0 % +
31%
3,0 % + 31%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 25%
1,8 % à 2,0 % 25%
1,5 % à 1,7 % 22%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<1,5 %
$522 Vol.
18%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
$517 Vol.
22%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
$0 Vol.
25%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
$0 Vol.
19%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
$0 Vol.
25%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
$0 Vol.
19%
3,0 % +
$3,634 Vol.
31%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price a 31% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, edging out the 25% odds for 2.4-2.6%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent upside risks. The Bank of Korea's February outlook lifted its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.2% from 2.1%, citing robust semiconductor-driven growth, while February CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year—on target but below 2.1% expectations. Producer prices accelerated to a 19-month high of 2.4%, and Standard Chartered recently raised its projection to 2.4% assuming $85/barrel oil amid geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include sustained energy shocks versus potential BoK tightening; March CPI data, due soon, could sway positioning toward higher brackets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$4,672Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price a 31% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, edging out the 25% odds for 2.4-2.6%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent upside risks. The Bank of Korea's February outlook lifted its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.2% from 2.1%, citing robust semiconductor-driven growth, while February CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year—on target but below 2.1% expectations. Producer prices accelerated to a 19-month high of 2.4%, and Standard Chartered recently raised its projection to 2.4% assuming $85/barrel oil amid geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include sustained energy shocks versus potential BoK tightening; March CPI data, due soon, could sway positioning toward higher brackets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$4,672Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 31% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, edging out the 25% odds for 2.4-2.6%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent upside risks. The Bank of Korea's February outlook lifted its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.2% from 2.1%, citing robust semiconductor-driven growth, while February CPI held steady at 2.0% year-over-year—on target but below 2.1% expectations. Producer prices accelerated to a 19-month high of 2.4%, and Standard Chartered recently raised its projection to 2.4% assuming $85/barrel oil amid geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include sustained energy shocks versus potential BoK tightening; March CPI data, due soon, could sway positioning toward higher brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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