The Bank of England’s near-certain hold of Bank Rate at 3.75% on June 18 reflects the Monetary Policy Committee’s focus on energy-price volatility from the Middle East conflict, which has raised fuel and utility costs while April CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year. A softening labor market, with unemployment edging higher and wage growth moderating, is viewed as limiting second-round inflation risks, consistent with futures markets assigning negligible odds to 25-basis-point moves. All 65 economists in the latest Reuters poll anticipate no change, aligning market-implied odds with official guidance that balances subdued growth against later-year upside inflation pressures. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release on June 17 or sharper escalation in energy markets remain the main near-term scenarios that could prompt a reassessment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque d'Angleterre en juin ?
Pas de changement 99.3%
Augmentation de 25 points de base <1%
Baisse de 25 points de base <1%
Baisse de plus de 50 points de base <1%
$283,808 Vol.
$283,808 Vol.
Baisse de plus de 50 points de base
<1%
Baisse de 25 points de base
<1%
Pas de changement
99%
Augmentation de 25 points de base
1%
Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base
<1%
Pas de changement 99.3%
Augmentation de 25 points de base <1%
Baisse de 25 points de base <1%
Baisse de plus de 50 points de base <1%
$283,808 Vol.
$283,808 Vol.
Baisse de plus de 50 points de base
<1%
Baisse de 25 points de base
<1%
Pas de changement
99%
Augmentation de 25 points de base
1%
Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s near-certain hold of Bank Rate at 3.75% on June 18 reflects the Monetary Policy Committee’s focus on energy-price volatility from the Middle East conflict, which has raised fuel and utility costs while April CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year. A softening labor market, with unemployment edging higher and wage growth moderating, is viewed as limiting second-round inflation risks, consistent with futures markets assigning negligible odds to 25-basis-point moves. All 65 economists in the latest Reuters poll anticipate no change, aligning market-implied odds with official guidance that balances subdued growth against later-year upside inflation pressures. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release on June 17 or sharper escalation in energy markets remain the main near-term scenarios that could prompt a reassessment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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