The UK Labour government's cabinet, formed after Keir Starmer's July landslide victory, has seen no resignations among its senior ministers since taking office, reflecting initial stability amid policy challenges like the controversial autumn budget's tax hikes and welfare cuts. Recent tensions include public backlash over winter fuel allowance restrictions for pensioners and donor controversies surrounding Lord Alli, but no official departures or no-confidence threats have materialized in the past 30 days. Traders monitoring for resignations should watch fiscal policy fallout, potential welfare rebellions from Labour backbenchers, and Starmer's handling of upcoming local elections or spending review deadlines, as economic pressures or scandals could prompt exits similar to past Conservative-era ministerial falls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$107,260 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
30 juin
70%
$107,260 Vol.
30 juin
$513 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Labour government's cabinet, formed after Keir Starmer's July landslide victory, has seen no resignations among its senior ministers since taking office, reflecting initial stability amid policy challenges like the controversial autumn budget's tax hikes and welfare cuts. Recent tensions include public backlash over winter fuel allowance restrictions for pensioners and donor controversies surrounding Lord Alli, but no official departures or no-confidence threats have materialized in the past 30 days. Traders monitoring for resignations should watch fiscal policy fallout, potential welfare rebellions from Labour backbenchers, and Starmer's handling of upcoming local elections or spending review deadlines, as economic pressures or scandals could prompt exits similar to past Conservative-era ministerial falls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Volume
$107,260Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Labour government's cabinet, formed after Keir Starmer's July landslide victory, has seen no resignations among its senior ministers since taking office, reflecting initial stability amid policy challenges like the controversial autumn budget's tax hikes and welfare cuts. Recent tensions include public backlash over winter fuel allowance restrictions for pensioners and donor controversies surrounding Lord Alli, but no official departures or no-confidence threats have materialized in the past 30 days. Traders monitoring for resignations should watch fiscal policy fallout, potential welfare rebellions from Labour backbenchers, and Starmer's handling of upcoming local elections or spending review deadlines, as economic pressures or scandals could prompt exits similar to past Conservative-era ministerial falls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$107,260Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UK Labour government's cabinet, formed after Keir Starmer's July landslide victory, has seen no resignations among its senior ministers since taking office, reflecting initial stability amid policy challenges like the controversial autumn budget's tax hikes and welfare cuts. Recent tensions include public backlash over winter fuel allowance restrictions for pensioners and donor controversies surrounding Lord Alli, but no official departures or no-confidence threats have materialized in the past 30 days. Traders monitoring for resignations should watch fiscal policy fallout, potential welfare rebellions from Labour backbenchers, and Starmer's handling of upcoming local elections or spending review deadlines, as economic pressures or scandals could prompt exits similar to past Conservative-era ministerial falls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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