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Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ?

Market icon

Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ?

$738,603 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$738,603 Vol.

Polymarket

30 juin 2026

$12,879 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a landslide on July 4, 2024, faces early headwinds from controversial budget decisions like winter fuel payment cuts and tax hikes on farmers, alongside backlash from summer riots and sluggish economic growth. Polls show Conservatives trailing but gaining slightly amid public discontent, fueling speculation on a potential snap general election before the 2029 deadline. However, Starmer has pledged a full term, with no dissolution of Parliament signaled. Traders watch upcoming by-elections, inflation data, and party conference season in autumn for catalysts that could pressure an early call by the prime minister, as UK elections require royal prorogation on PM advice. Market odds reflect trader consensus on sustained stability versus rising political volatility.

Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a landslide on July 4, 2024, faces early headwinds from controversial budget decisions like winter fuel payment cuts and tax hikes on farmers, alongside backlash from summer riots and sluggish economic growth. Polls show Conservatives trailing but gaining slightly amid public discontent, fueling speculation on a potential snap general election before the 2029 deadline. However, Starmer has pledged a full term, with no dissolution of Parliament signaled. Traders watch upcoming by-elections, inflation data, and party conference season in autumn for catalysts that could pressure an early call by the prime minister, as UK elections require royal prorogation on PM advice. Market odds reflect trader consensus on sustained stability versus rising political volatility.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a landslide on July 4, 2024, faces early headwinds from controversial budget decisions like winter fuel payment cuts and tax hikes on farmers, alongside backlash from summer riots and sluggish economic growth. Polls show Conservatives trailing but gaining slightly amid public discontent, fueling speculation on a potential snap general election before the 2029 deadline. However, Starmer has pledged a full term, with no dissolution of Parliament signaled. Traders watch upcoming by-elections, inflation data, and party conference season in autumn for catalysts that could pressure an early call by the prime minister, as UK elections require royal prorogation on PM advice. Market odds reflect trader consensus on sustained stability versus rising political volatility.

Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a landslide on July 4, 2024, faces early headwinds from controversial budget decisions like winter fuel payment cuts and tax hikes on farmers, alongside backlash from summer riots and sluggish economic growth. Polls show Conservatives trailing but gaining slightly amid public discontent, fueling speculation on a potential snap general election before the 2029 deadline. However, Starmer has pledged a full term, with no dissolution of Parliament signaled. Traders watch upcoming by-elections, inflation data, and party conference season in autumn for catalysts that could pressure an early call by the prime minister, as UK elections require royal prorogation on PM advice. Market odds reflect trader consensus on sustained stability versus rising political volatility.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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« Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin 2026 » à 7%, suivi de « 31 mars » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 7¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 7% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ? » a généré $738.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 6, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ? » est « 30 juin 2026 » à seulement 7%, avec « 31 mars » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.