Keir Starmer's Labour government faces mounting pressure for a snap general election amid a dramatic collapse in opinion polls, with Reform UK surging to a 31% lead over Labour's 17% in January MRP surveys and maintaining dominance into February. Starmer's net favourability hit a record-low -57, fueled by policy backlash on taxes, immigration, and welfare cuts, exacerbated by a Green Party win in a late February special election that relegated Labour to third. A parliamentary petition exceeding one million signatures for immediate polls was debated in January but dismissed. Traders eye May 7 local elections as a pivotal test—potential heavy losses could trigger no-confidence votes or force dissolution—though no call appears imminent before 2029 absent a crisis.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÉlection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ?
Élection au Royaume-Uni convoquée par... ?
$738,603 Vol.
30 juin 2026
8%
$738,603 Vol.
30 juin 2026
8%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer's Labour government faces mounting pressure for a snap general election amid a dramatic collapse in opinion polls, with Reform UK surging to a 31% lead over Labour's 17% in January MRP surveys and maintaining dominance into February. Starmer's net favourability hit a record-low -57, fueled by policy backlash on taxes, immigration, and welfare cuts, exacerbated by a Green Party win in a late February special election that relegated Labour to third. A parliamentary petition exceeding one million signatures for immediate polls was debated in January but dismissed. Traders eye May 7 local elections as a pivotal test—potential heavy losses could trigger no-confidence votes or force dissolution—though no call appears imminent before 2029 absent a crisis.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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