Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GBP/USD hitting a key threshold in 2026 based on sustained Bank of England-Federal Reserve policy divergence, with the pair trading near 1.3050 after recent UK CPI eased to 2.3% year-over-year in October, prompting BoE's 25 basis point cut to 5% while Fed funds futures imply further U.S. easing into 2026. Pound gains accelerated post-U.K. Autumn Budget's fiscal restraint, avoiding market-disrupting tax hikes, amid sticky UK wage growth supporting sterling. Key risks include U.S. nonfarm payrolls on December 6 and BoE's December 19 meeting; longer-term, UK GDP forecasts at 1.1% for 2025 versus U.S. 2.2% could cap upside unless eurozone weakness bolsters cable via relative yield appeal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour↑1,70
14%
↑1,60
34%
↑1,55
16%
↑1,50
29%
↑1,45
32%
↑1,40
51%
↓1,30
69%
↓1,25
46%
↓1,20
46%
↓1,10
37%
↓1,00
15%
$0.00 Vol.
↑1,70
14%
↑1,60
34%
↑1,55
16%
↑1,50
29%
↑1,45
32%
↑1,40
51%
↓1,30
69%
↓1,25
46%
↓1,20
46%
↓1,10
37%
↓1,00
15%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GBP/USD hitting a key threshold in 2026 based on sustained Bank of England-Federal Reserve policy divergence, with the pair trading near 1.3050 after recent UK CPI eased to 2.3% year-over-year in October, prompting BoE's 25 basis point cut to 5% while Fed funds futures imply further U.S. easing into 2026. Pound gains accelerated post-U.K. Autumn Budget's fiscal restraint, avoiding market-disrupting tax hikes, amid sticky UK wage growth supporting sterling. Key risks include U.S. nonfarm payrolls on December 6 and BoE's December 19 meeting; longer-term, UK GDP forecasts at 1.1% for 2025 versus U.S. 2.2% could cap upside unless eurozone weakness bolsters cable via relative yield appeal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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