Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $175 by March 29 close, reflecting cautious optimism amid a volatile tech sector rally. AAPL shares have climbed 5% this week to $172.50, buoyed by strong Vision Pro initial sales exceeding 200,000 units and anticipation for AI-enhanced iOS updates at WWDC, offsetting China revenue weakness reported in recent filings (down 2% YoY). Key risks include ongoing EU antitrust probes and broader Nasdaq pressure from elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Traders eye end-of-quarter rebalancing and April 2 CPI data as pivotal catalysts, with historical EOM gains averaging 1.2% for AAPL in Q1.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$293,496 Vol.
210 $
98%
220 $
94%
230 $
91%
240 $
78%
250 $
49%
260 $
27%
270 $
4%
280 $
14%
290 $
1%
300 $
1%
310 $
1%
320 $
1%
330 $
<1%
$293,496 Vol.
210 $
98%
220 $
94%
230 $
91%
240 $
78%
250 $
49%
260 $
27%
270 $
4%
280 $
14%
290 $
1%
300 $
1%
310 $
1%
320 $
1%
330 $
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $175 by March 29 close, reflecting cautious optimism amid a volatile tech sector rally. AAPL shares have climbed 5% this week to $172.50, buoyed by strong Vision Pro initial sales exceeding 200,000 units and anticipation for AI-enhanced iOS updates at WWDC, offsetting China revenue weakness reported in recent filings (down 2% YoY). Key risks include ongoing EU antitrust probes and broader Nasdaq pressure from elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Traders eye end-of-quarter rebalancing and April 2 CPI data as pivotal catalysts, with historical EOM gains averaging 1.2% for AAPL in Q1.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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