Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Netflix (NFLX) shares will finish the week of March 23 above $950, propelled by momentum from robust Q4 results showing 18.4 million net subscriber adds—well above 16 million estimates—and accelerating ad-tier revenue growth to 40% YoY. NFLX trades at $945 as of Friday's close, up 1.8% amid a tech sector rebound on cooling inflation data ahead of the March 19 FOMC. Upcoming catalysts include March 21 consumer sentiment release and potential live sports announcements, though risks from Disney+ password enforcement and ad market softness loom. Resolution hinges on March 28 close versus the $950 threshold, reflecting real-money bets on sustained streaming dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour30 $
100%
40 $
90%
50 $
93%
60 $
89%
70 $
90%
80 $
90%
90 $
62%
100 $
15%
110 $
11%
120 $
11%
130 $
11%
$140
3%
$150
9%
$670 Vol.
30 $
100%
40 $
90%
50 $
93%
60 $
89%
70 $
90%
80 $
90%
90 $
62%
100 $
15%
110 $
11%
120 $
11%
130 $
11%
$140
3%
$150
9%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Netflix (NFLX) shares will finish the week of March 23 above $950, propelled by momentum from robust Q4 results showing 18.4 million net subscriber adds—well above 16 million estimates—and accelerating ad-tier revenue growth to 40% YoY. NFLX trades at $945 as of Friday's close, up 1.8% amid a tech sector rebound on cooling inflation data ahead of the March 19 FOMC. Upcoming catalysts include March 21 consumer sentiment release and potential live sports announcements, though risks from Disney+ password enforcement and ad market softness loom. Resolution hinges on March 28 close versus the $950 threshold, reflecting real-money bets on sustained streaming dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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