Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85% implied probability of Apple (AAPL) closing the week of March 23 between $240-$255, with $245-$250 (31%) edging out $250-$255 (29%) amid tight competition from $240-$245 (25%). This clustering reflects cautious optimism driven by robust iPhone 16 demand and Apple Intelligence adoption offsetting China sales headwinds and potential U.S. tariffs under a Trump administration. Key differentiators include the stock's position above its 50-day moving average (~$228) and proximity to resistance at $250, with upcoming March 26 CPI data and Fed signals as pivotal catalysts that could sway momentum toward upside bins if inflation cools further. Uncertainty persists around enterprise AI monetization timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour245 $–250 $ 31%
250 $ - 255 $ 29%
240 $ - 245 $ 25%
255 $ - 260 $ 14%
<225 $
11%
225 $-230 $
11%
230 $–235 $
11%
235 $-240 $
12%
240 $ - 245 $
25%
245 $–250 $
31%
250 $ - 255 $
29%
255 $ - 260 $
14%
260 $ – 265 $
9%
265 $ - 270 $
11%
>270 $
8%
245 $–250 $ 31%
250 $ - 255 $ 29%
240 $ - 245 $ 25%
255 $ - 260 $ 14%
<225 $
11%
225 $-230 $
11%
230 $–235 $
11%
235 $-240 $
12%
240 $ - 245 $
25%
245 $–250 $
31%
250 $ - 255 $
29%
255 $ - 260 $
14%
260 $ – 265 $
9%
265 $ - 270 $
11%
>270 $
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85% implied probability of Apple (AAPL) closing the week of March 23 between $240-$255, with $245-$250 (31%) edging out $250-$255 (29%) amid tight competition from $240-$245 (25%). This clustering reflects cautious optimism driven by robust iPhone 16 demand and Apple Intelligence adoption offsetting China sales headwinds and potential U.S. tariffs under a Trump administration. Key differentiators include the stock's position above its 50-day moving average (~$228) and proximity to resistance at $250, with upcoming March 26 CPI data and Fed signals as pivotal catalysts that could sway momentum toward upside bins if inflation cools further. Uncertainty persists around enterprise AI monetization timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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