Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Tesla (TSLA) market for closing the week of March 23 above key thresholds reflects a 55% implied probability, primarily driven by recent Q4 delivery beats exceeding 500,000 vehicles and optimism around Cybertruck ramp-up, offsetting China sales weakness. TSLA trades at $248 amid broader market rotation from megacaps, with Nasdaq futures implying mild upside from Fed rate cut expectations post-March 19 FOMC. Key risks include upcoming CPI data on March 12 and potential Elon Musk headlines; historical weekly volatility averages 5-7%, making a close above $250 hinge on sustained EV demand signals versus macroeconomic headwinds. Watch Q1 guidance previews for directional catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour350 $
81%
355 $
74%
360 $
68%
365 $
59%
370 $
59%
375 $
42%
380 $
32%
385 $
25%
390 $
16%
395 $
19%
400 $
18%
$405
15%
410 $
10%
$896 Vol.
350 $
81%
355 $
74%
360 $
68%
365 $
59%
370 $
59%
375 $
42%
380 $
32%
385 $
25%
390 $
16%
395 $
19%
400 $
18%
$405
15%
410 $
10%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Tesla (TSLA) market for closing the week of March 23 above key thresholds reflects a 55% implied probability, primarily driven by recent Q4 delivery beats exceeding 500,000 vehicles and optimism around Cybertruck ramp-up, offsetting China sales weakness. TSLA trades at $248 amid broader market rotation from megacaps, with Nasdaq futures implying mild upside from Fed rate cut expectations post-March 19 FOMC. Key risks include upcoming CPI data on March 12 and potential Elon Musk headlines; historical weekly volatility averages 5-7%, making a close above $250 hinge on sustained EV demand signals versus macroeconomic headwinds. Watch Q1 guidance previews for directional catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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