Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 between $90-$100 (60% implied probability), reflecting caution amid recent subscriber growth slowdowns reported in Q4 earnings and intensifying competition from Disney+ and Amazon Prime Video. The $80-$90 bin at 30.5% captures downside risks from macroeconomic headwinds, including persistent high interest rates pressuring consumer discretionary spending and broader tech sector rotation out of growth stocks. Supporting stability, NFLX's password-sharing crackdown and nascent ad-supported tier have stemmed bleeding, with shares trading near $95 mid-week; however, no major catalysts like FOMC decisions loom, positioning modest volatility around current levels as markets digest lingering recession fears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour90 $-100 $ 71%
80 $ - 90 $ 29%
100$-110$ 10%
70 $-80 $ 9%
<50 $
1%
50 $ - 60 $
1%
60 $–70 $
4%
70 $-80 $
9%
80 $ - 90 $
29%
90 $-100 $
71%
100$-110$
10%
110 $ - 120 $
8%
120 $–130 $
1%
130 $ - 140 $
1%
>140 $
1%
90 $-100 $ 71%
80 $ - 90 $ 29%
100$-110$ 10%
70 $-80 $ 9%
<50 $
1%
50 $ - 60 $
1%
60 $–70 $
4%
70 $-80 $
9%
80 $ - 90 $
29%
90 $-100 $
71%
100$-110$
10%
110 $ - 120 $
8%
120 $–130 $
1%
130 $ - 140 $
1%
>140 $
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 between $90-$100 (60% implied probability), reflecting caution amid recent subscriber growth slowdowns reported in Q4 earnings and intensifying competition from Disney+ and Amazon Prime Video. The $80-$90 bin at 30.5% captures downside risks from macroeconomic headwinds, including persistent high interest rates pressuring consumer discretionary spending and broader tech sector rotation out of growth stocks. Supporting stability, NFLX's password-sharing crackdown and nascent ad-supported tier have stemmed bleeding, with shares trading near $95 mid-week; however, no major catalysts like FOMC decisions loom, positioning modest volatility around current levels as markets digest lingering recession fears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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