Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for NVIDIA (NVDA) to close the week of March 23 above $130, reflecting bullish sentiment amid surging AI infrastructure demand despite supply chain jitters from Taiwan's recent earthquake impacting TSMC production. NVDA shares have rallied 8% this week to $128.50 as of Friday close, buoyed by strong Blackwell chip orders and hyperscaler capex guidance exceeding $300B annually from Meta and Microsoft. Key risks include Friday's PCE inflation data, where a hotter-than-expected 0.4% core print could pressure Fed rate cut odds to 40bps in June per CME FedWatch, hitting tech valuations. Watch $132 resistance; breach signals upside to $140, while sub-$125 tests support ahead of GTC developer conference in late March.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour150 $
92%
155 $
90%
160 $
90%
165 $
84%
170 $
76%
175 $
45%
180 $
26%
185 $
12%
190 $
7%
195 $
7%
200 $
7%
205 $
1%
210 $
1%
$177 Vol.
150 $
92%
155 $
90%
160 $
90%
165 $
84%
170 $
76%
175 $
45%
180 $
26%
185 $
12%
190 $
7%
195 $
7%
200 $
7%
205 $
1%
210 $
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for NVIDIA (NVDA) to close the week of March 23 above $130, reflecting bullish sentiment amid surging AI infrastructure demand despite supply chain jitters from Taiwan's recent earthquake impacting TSMC production. NVDA shares have rallied 8% this week to $128.50 as of Friday close, buoyed by strong Blackwell chip orders and hyperscaler capex guidance exceeding $300B annually from Meta and Microsoft. Key risks include Friday's PCE inflation data, where a hotter-than-expected 0.4% core print could pressure Fed rate cut odds to 40bps in June per CME FedWatch, hitting tech valuations. Watch $132 resistance; breach signals upside to $140, while sub-$125 tests support ahead of GTC developer conference in late March.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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