Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a modest 28% implied probability to Opendoor (OPEN) closing above $2 during the week of March 23, reflecting persistent housing market headwinds and the stock's recent slide to $1.42 amid high mortgage rates near 7%. Primary drivers include OPEN's Q4 revenue miss at $1.15 billion (down 26% YoY) and widened net losses of $392 million, underscoring iBuying model's vulnerability to low inventory and buyer caution. Shares face 40% upside hurdle with elevated short interest at 18%, amplifying volatility. Key catalysts: March 20 housing starts data and Fed commentary on rate cuts, with trader capital betting on macro relief versus ongoing real estate slump.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour2,00 $
99%
2,50 $
99%
3,00 $
99%
3,50 $
75%
4,00 $
75%
4,50 $
50%
5,00 $
44%
5,50 $
50%
6,00 $
22%
6,50 $
50%
7,00 $
1%
7,50 $
1%
$8.00
1%
$721 Vol.
2,00 $
99%
2,50 $
99%
3,00 $
99%
3,50 $
75%
4,00 $
75%
4,50 $
50%
5,00 $
44%
5,50 $
50%
6,00 $
22%
6,50 $
50%
7,00 $
1%
7,50 $
1%
$8.00
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a modest 28% implied probability to Opendoor (OPEN) closing above $2 during the week of March 23, reflecting persistent housing market headwinds and the stock's recent slide to $1.42 amid high mortgage rates near 7%. Primary drivers include OPEN's Q4 revenue miss at $1.15 billion (down 26% YoY) and widened net losses of $392 million, underscoring iBuying model's vulnerability to low inventory and buyer caution. Shares face 40% upside hurdle with elevated short interest at 18%, amplifying volatility. Key catalysts: March 20 housing starts data and Fed commentary on rate cuts, with trader capital betting on macro relief versus ongoing real estate slump.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes