Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Amazon (AMZN) shares will close above $185 by March 31, reflecting bullish sentiment amid AWS cloud dominance and AI investments, with shares trading at $182.50 intraday after a 3% weekly gain fueled by strong e-commerce data and cost-cutting measures boosting margins to 7.5% in Q4. Key risks include broader market volatility from the March 20 FOMC meeting, where dot-plot updates could signal fewer rate cuts, pressuring growth stocks; watch S&P 500 resistance at 5,800. Upside catalysts: February retail sales release March 15 and analyst upgrades targeting $200, with historical March closes averaging +2% for AMZN.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$53,291 Vol.
150 $
100%
160 $
99%
170 $
97%
180 $
96%
190 $
95%
200 $
83%
210 $
50%
220 $
13%
230 $
5%
240 $
5%
250 $
1%
260 $
1%
270 $
<1%
$53,291 Vol.
150 $
100%
160 $
99%
170 $
97%
180 $
96%
190 $
95%
200 $
83%
210 $
50%
220 $
13%
230 $
5%
240 $
5%
250 $
1%
260 $
1%
270 $
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Amazon (AMZN) shares will close above $185 by March 31, reflecting bullish sentiment amid AWS cloud dominance and AI investments, with shares trading at $182.50 intraday after a 3% weekly gain fueled by strong e-commerce data and cost-cutting measures boosting margins to 7.5% in Q4. Key risks include broader market volatility from the March 20 FOMC meeting, where dot-plot updates could signal fewer rate cuts, pressuring growth stocks; watch S&P 500 resistance at 5,800. Upside catalysts: February retail sales release March 15 and analyst upgrades targeting $200, with historical March closes averaging +2% for AMZN.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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