Polymarket traders price a modest 38% implied probability for Opendoor (OPEN) closing above $2 by March 29, driven primarily by persistent high mortgage rates above 6.8% stifling iBuying volumes, which plunged 42% YoY in Q4 2024 per regulatory filings. OPEN trades at $1.82 after a 22% YTD decline, reflecting broader real estate weakness and $200M quarterly net losses amid inventory buildup. Key catalysts include March 20 FOMC meeting—dovish signals could lift housing sentiment—and March 25 new home sales data; breaching $1.95 resistance is pivotal for momentum. Consensus hinges on rate cut hopes offsetting Opendoor's negative cash burn trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$10,318 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
1,00 $
95%
2,00 $
98%
3,00 $
98%
4,00 $
94%
5,00 $
50%
6,00 $
10%
7,00 $
3%
8,00 $
3%
9,00 $
2%
10 $
2%
11 $
1%
$10,318 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
1,00 $
95%
2,00 $
98%
3,00 $
98%
4,00 $
94%
5,00 $
50%
6,00 $
10%
7,00 $
3%
8,00 $
3%
9,00 $
2%
10 $
2%
11 $
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest 38% implied probability for Opendoor (OPEN) closing above $2 by March 29, driven primarily by persistent high mortgage rates above 6.8% stifling iBuying volumes, which plunged 42% YoY in Q4 2024 per regulatory filings. OPEN trades at $1.82 after a 22% YTD decline, reflecting broader real estate weakness and $200M quarterly net losses amid inventory buildup. Key catalysts include March 20 FOMC meeting—dovish signals could lift housing sentiment—and March 25 new home sales data; breaching $1.95 resistance is pivotal for momentum. Consensus hinges on rate cut hopes offsetting Opendoor's negative cash burn trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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