Polymarket traders imply a 65% probability of Netflix (NFLX) closing above $950 by March 31, fueled by the stock's post-Q4 earnings surge—adding 18.5 million subscribers versus 16.7 million expected and ad-tier revenue jumping 60% year-over-year—pushing shares to $928 intraday highs amid bullish analyst upgrades to $1,200 targets. YTD gains of 22% reflect market consensus on pricing power and live events momentum, though risks loom from subscriber saturation and competition. With no earnings until April 17, focus shifts to March 19 FOMC for rate cut signals boosting growth multiples, February CPI data, and technical resistance near $940; resolution hinges on EOM Nasdaq close above the strike.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNetflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
Netflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
$80,736 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
100%
60 $
92%
80 $
96%
100 $
6%
120 $
1%
140 $
1%
160 $
<1%
180 $
<1%
200 $
<1%
$80,736 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
100%
60 $
92%
80 $
96%
100 $
6%
120 $
1%
140 $
1%
160 $
<1%
180 $
<1%
200 $
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders imply a 65% probability of Netflix (NFLX) closing above $950 by March 31, fueled by the stock's post-Q4 earnings surge—adding 18.5 million subscribers versus 16.7 million expected and ad-tier revenue jumping 60% year-over-year—pushing shares to $928 intraday highs amid bullish analyst upgrades to $1,200 targets. YTD gains of 22% reflect market consensus on pricing power and live events momentum, though risks loom from subscriber saturation and competition. With no earnings until April 17, focus shifts to March 19 FOMC for rate cut signals boosting growth multiples, February CPI data, and technical resistance near $940; resolution hinges on EOM Nasdaq close above the strike.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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