Trader sentiment on gold (GC) futures reflects a tug-of-war between dovish Federal Reserve signals and persistent inflation pressures, with spot gold trading near $2,675 per ounce as of February 2025. Recent drivers include January's softer-than-expected CPI print at 2.9% year-over-year, reinforcing market-implied odds of a March Fed funds rate cut (currently ~70% per CME FedWatch), which compresses real yields and supports gold's safe-haven appeal amid Middle East tensions and record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. A weakening U.S. dollar index below 104 adds tailwinds, though hawkish labor data like robust nonfarm payrolls tempers upside. Key catalysts ahead: February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations and gold's trajectory toward any end-of-March price targets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
L'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
$2,921,307 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
<1%
↑ 5 500 $
<1%
↑ 5 400 $
1%
↓ 4 300 $
14%
↓ 4 000 $
4%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
<1%
$2,921,307 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
$321,460 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
$361,062 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
$104,676 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
$78,972 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
$88,190 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
$42,561 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
$76,660 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
$68,486 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 500 $
$63,227 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 400 $
$173,653 Vol.
1%
↓ 4 300 $
$184,713 Vol.
14%
↓ 4 000 $
$225,703 Vol.
4%
↓ 3 600 $
$206,683 Vol.
1%
↓ 3 000 $
$285,821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on gold (GC) futures reflects a tug-of-war between dovish Federal Reserve signals and persistent inflation pressures, with spot gold trading near $2,675 per ounce as of February 2025. Recent drivers include January's softer-than-expected CPI print at 2.9% year-over-year, reinforcing market-implied odds of a March Fed funds rate cut (currently ~70% per CME FedWatch), which compresses real yields and supports gold's safe-haven appeal amid Middle East tensions and record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. A weakening U.S. dollar index below 104 adds tailwinds, though hawkish labor data like robust nonfarm payrolls tempers upside. Key catalysts ahead: February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations and gold's trajectory toward any end-of-March price targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$2,921,307Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on gold (GC) futures reflects a tug-of-war between dovish Federal Reserve signals and persistent inflation pressures, with spot gold trading near $2,675 per ounce as of February 2025. Recent drivers include January's softer-than-expected CPI print at 2.9% year-over-year, reinforcing market-implied odds of a March Fed funds rate cut (currently ~70% per CME FedWatch), which compresses real yields and supports gold's safe-haven appeal amid Middle East tensions and record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. A weakening U.S. dollar index below 104 adds tailwinds, though hawkish labor data like robust nonfarm payrolls tempers upside. Key catalysts ahead: February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations and gold's trajectory toward any end-of-March price targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$2,921,307Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on gold (GC) futures reflects a tug-of-war between dovish Federal Reserve signals and persistent inflation pressures, with spot gold trading near $2,675 per ounce as of February 2025. Recent drivers include January's softer-than-expected CPI print at 2.9% year-over-year, reinforcing market-implied odds of a March Fed funds rate cut (currently ~70% per CME FedWatch), which compresses real yields and supports gold's safe-haven appeal amid Middle East tensions and record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. A weakening U.S. dollar index below 104 adds tailwinds, though hawkish labor data like robust nonfarm payrolls tempers upside. Key catalysts ahead: February CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations and gold's trajectory toward any end-of-March price targets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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