Market icon

Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?

Market icon

Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?

$155,309 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$155,309 Vol.

Polymarket

7 000 $

$16,086 Vol.

<1%

6 500 $

$0 Vol.

<1%

6 000 $

$18,073 Vol.

1%

5 800 $

$30,795 Vol.

1%

5 600 $

$4,837 Vol.

1%

5 400 $

$43,984 Vol.

1%

5 200 $

$4,403 Vol.

2%

5 000 $

$9,909 Vol.

3%

4 800 $

$10,852 Vol.

7%

4 600 $

$6,139 Vol.

25%

4 400 $

$2,091 Vol.

71%

4 000 $

$8,140 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Comex gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to around $4,520 for the active month contract as of March 28, up over 2.5% intraday, rebounding from mid-March lows near $4,400 amid a softer U.S. dollar and renewed safe-haven demand tied to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including Hormuz Strait disruptions. This recovery follows a steep sell-off driven by surging Treasury yields and USD strength, which unwound momentum trades after gold's early-month peak above $5,400. Hawkish Federal Reserve signals have capped upside by pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026, while persistent central bank purchases provide floor support. With settlement on March 31 just days away, traders eye final PCE inflation data and Fed rhetoric for last-minute volatility, with market-implied odds heavily favoring stability above key $4,000–$4,200 thresholds per Polymarket consensus.

Comex gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to around $4,520 for the active month contract as of March 28, up over 2.5% intraday, rebounding from mid-March lows near $4,400 amid a softer U.S. dollar and renewed safe-haven demand tied to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including Hormuz Strait disruptions. This recovery follows a steep sell-off driven by surging Treasury yields and USD strength, which unwound momentum trades after gold's early-month peak above $5,400. Hawkish Federal Reserve signals have capped upside by pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026, while persistent central bank purchases provide floor support. With settlement on March 31 just days away, traders eye final PCE inflation data and Fed rhetoric for last-minute volatility, with market-implied odds heavily favoring stability above key $4,000–$4,200 thresholds per Polymarket consensus.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Comex gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to around $4,520 for the active month contract as of March 28, up over 2.5% intraday, rebounding from mid-March lows near $4,400 amid a softer U.S. dollar and renewed safe-haven demand tied to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including Hormuz Strait disruptions. This recovery follows a steep sell-off driven by surging Treasury yields and USD strength, which unwound momentum trades after gold's early-month peak above $5,400. Hawkish Federal Reserve signals have capped upside by pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026, while persistent central bank purchases provide floor support. With settlement on March 31 just days away, traders eye final PCE inflation data and Fed rhetoric for last-minute volatility, with market-implied odds heavily favoring stability above key $4,000–$4,200 thresholds per Polymarket consensus.

Comex gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to around $4,520 for the active month contract as of March 28, up over 2.5% intraday, rebounding from mid-March lows near $4,400 amid a softer U.S. dollar and renewed safe-haven demand tied to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including Hormuz Strait disruptions. This recovery follows a steep sell-off driven by surging Treasury yields and USD strength, which unwound momentum trades after gold's early-month peak above $5,400. Hawkish Federal Reserve signals have capped upside by pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026, while persistent central bank purchases provide floor support. With settlement on March 31 just days away, traders eye final PCE inflation data and Fed rhetoric for last-minute volatility, with market-implied odds heavily favoring stability above key $4,000–$4,200 thresholds per Polymarket consensus.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 4 000 $ » à 94%, suivi de « 4 400 $ » à 71%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 94¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » a généré $155.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » est « 4 000 $ » à 94%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 4 400 $ » à 71%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.