Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, driven by persistent Strait of Hormuz disruptions and U.S. actions blocking Iranian ports, which spiked spot prices to $104 per barrel earlier this week before a pullback to around $91. The latest EIA report showed a bullish 913,000-barrel crude inventory draw for the week ending April 10—far exceeding expectations—amid surging U.S. exports to Europe, tightening near-term supply fundamentals despite OPEC+ signals of potential output boosts. June futures trade near $88, reflecting expectations of a Q2 price peak per EIA outlooks before demand moderation pressures prices lower; key swing factors include next week's EIA data and fading geopolitical premiums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
>84 $ 56%
77 $–84 $ 15%
70 $ - 77 $ 7.8%
63 $-70 $ 5.5%
$129,575 Vol.
$129,575 Vol.
<42 $
3%
42 $-49 $
2%
49 $–56 $
2%
56 $-63 $
4%
63 $-70 $
5%
70 $ - 77 $
8%
77 $–84 $
15%
>84 $
56%
>84 $ 56%
77 $–84 $ 15%
70 $ - 77 $ 7.8%
63 $-70 $ 5.5%
$129,575 Vol.
$129,575 Vol.
<42 $
3%
42 $-49 $
2%
49 $–56 $
2%
56 $-63 $
4%
63 $-70 $
5%
70 $ - 77 $
8%
77 $–84 $
15%
>84 $
56%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, driven by persistent Strait of Hormuz disruptions and U.S. actions blocking Iranian ports, which spiked spot prices to $104 per barrel earlier this week before a pullback to around $91. The latest EIA report showed a bullish 913,000-barrel crude inventory draw for the week ending April 10—far exceeding expectations—amid surging U.S. exports to Europe, tightening near-term supply fundamentals despite OPEC+ signals of potential output boosts. June futures trade near $88, reflecting expectations of a Q2 price peak per EIA outlooks before demand moderation pressures prices lower; key swing factors include next week's EIA data and fading geopolitical premiums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes