WTI crude oil futures have rocketed above $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—driven by acute supply risks from Strait of Hormuz disruptions amid U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, fueling a 5%+ surge in the March 27 session and over 40% gains in the past month. This geopolitical premium has overshadowed OPEC+'s March 1 decision for modest output hikes by key members like Saudi Arabia and Russia, totaling ~2.9 million bpd through year-end, while U.S. rig counts decline amid elevated prices. Weekly EIA petroleum status reports remain pivotal for demand signals, with IEA's April Oil Market Report and potential OPEC+ adjustments looming as catalysts through June resolution. Trader consensus via futures pricing reflects heightened volatility, balancing disruption persistence against softer 2026 demand forecasts averaging $60–$90/bbl.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Le pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,698,161 Vol.
↑ 200 $
14%
↑ $175
17%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
56%
↑ $115
59%
↑ 110 $
71%
↑ $105
75%
↑ 100 $
89%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
19%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
5%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
4%
↓ 35 $
3%
$2,698,161 Vol.
↑ 200 $
14%
↑ $175
17%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
41%
↑ $120
56%
↑ $115
59%
↑ 110 $
71%
↑ $105
75%
↑ 100 $
89%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
19%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
5%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
4%
↓ 35 $
3%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have rocketed above $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—driven by acute supply risks from Strait of Hormuz disruptions amid U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, fueling a 5%+ surge in the March 27 session and over 40% gains in the past month. This geopolitical premium has overshadowed OPEC+'s March 1 decision for modest output hikes by key members like Saudi Arabia and Russia, totaling ~2.9 million bpd through year-end, while U.S. rig counts decline amid elevated prices. Weekly EIA petroleum status reports remain pivotal for demand signals, with IEA's April Oil Market Report and potential OPEC+ adjustments looming as catalysts through June resolution. Trader consensus via futures pricing reflects heightened volatility, balancing disruption persistence against softer 2026 demand forecasts averaging $60–$90/bbl.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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