Trader sentiment on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil (CL) futures pricing through end-June 2026 hinges on escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions, including potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions from US-Iran frictions, which have fueled a recent rally to $97.60 per barrel as of May 7. EIA data for the week ended May 1 showed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw to 457.2 million barrels—1% above the five-year average—bolstering supply tightness amid OPEC+ production adjustments, with a 206,000 bpd increase starting May following prior pauses. Summer driving season demand and weekly EIA reports through June remain key catalysts, while forecasts diverge: EIA sees Brent peaking near $115/bbl in Q2 before easing on surplus risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Le pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$14,995,820 Vol.
↑ 200 $
5%
↑ 175 $
8%
↑ 150 $
14%
↑ 140 $
18%
↑ 130 $
28%
↑ 120 $
42%
↑ 115 $
53%
↓ 80 $
53%
↓ 70 $
24%
↓ 60 $
8%
↓ 55 $
4%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ 50 $
3%
↓ 47 $
2%
↓ 45 $
2%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ 35 $
1%
$14,995,820 Vol.
↑ 200 $
5%
↑ 175 $
8%
↑ 150 $
14%
↑ 140 $
18%
↑ 130 $
28%
↑ 120 $
42%
↑ 115 $
53%
↓ 80 $
53%
↓ 70 $
24%
↓ 60 $
8%
↓ 55 $
4%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ 50 $
3%
↓ 47 $
2%
↓ 45 $
2%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ 35 $
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil (CL) futures pricing through end-June 2026 hinges on escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions, including potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions from US-Iran frictions, which have fueled a recent rally to $97.60 per barrel as of May 7. EIA data for the week ended May 1 showed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw to 457.2 million barrels—1% above the five-year average—bolstering supply tightness amid OPEC+ production adjustments, with a 206,000 bpd increase starting May following prior pauses. Summer driving season demand and weekly EIA reports through June remain key catalysts, while forecasts diverge: EIA sees Brent peaking near $115/bbl in Q2 before easing on surplus risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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