Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven the primary upside pressure on WTI crude oil futures, which traded near $104 per barrel as of mid-May 2026. Supply disruptions across key Middle Eastern producers triggered record inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, tightening global balances and supporting near-term prices despite softening demand growth. EIA forecasts point to Brent averages around $106 in May and June before potential moderation once flows normalize later in the year. Traders are closely watching diplomatic progress on peace talks, any restarts of shut-in production, and summer consumption patterns that could determine whether futures test higher thresholds by June 30 resolution. Recent volatility reflects sensitivity to de-escalation signals amid these tight fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$17,728,936 Vol.
↑ 200 $
2%
↑ 175 $
5%
↑ 150 $
11%
↑ 140 $
18%
↑ 130 $
24%
↑ 120 $
42%
↑ 115 $
54%
↑ $110
57%
↑ $105
68%
↓ $90
65%
↓ $85
47%
↓ 80 $
38%
↓ 70 $
15%
↓ 60 $
6%
↓ 55 $
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ 50 $
2%
↓ 47 $
1%
↓ 45 $
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 35 $
1%
$17,728,936 Vol.
↑ 200 $
2%
↑ 175 $
5%
↑ 150 $
11%
↑ 140 $
18%
↑ 130 $
24%
↑ 120 $
42%
↑ 115 $
54%
↑ $110
57%
↑ $105
68%
↓ $90
65%
↓ $85
47%
↓ 80 $
38%
↓ 70 $
15%
↓ 60 $
6%
↓ 55 $
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ 50 $
2%
↓ 47 $
1%
↓ 45 $
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 35 $
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven the primary upside pressure on WTI crude oil futures, which traded near $104 per barrel as of mid-May 2026. Supply disruptions across key Middle Eastern producers triggered record inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, tightening global balances and supporting near-term prices despite softening demand growth. EIA forecasts point to Brent averages around $106 in May and June before potential moderation once flows normalize later in the year. Traders are closely watching diplomatic progress on peace talks, any restarts of shut-in production, and summer consumption patterns that could determine whether futures test higher thresholds by June 30 resolution. Recent volatility reflects sensitivity to de-escalation signals amid these tight fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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