Recent hopes for a U.S.-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, which traded near $76.50 per barrel on June 17 after falling more than 10% in recent sessions amid easing supply disruption fears. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the potential rapid return of Middle East production volumes previously shut in by conflict-related constraints, outweighing longer-term forecasts of global inventory draws from the EIA. With end-of-June resolution approaching, near-term catalysts include any finalization of the memorandum of understanding and related sanctions signals, which could accelerate downward pressure on front-month CL futures if supply expectations firm. Broader demand softness and IEA warnings of future oversupply further anchor sentiment toward lower prices in the immediate window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$29,457,549 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 175 $
1%
↑ 150 $
1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 120 $
1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
4%
↑ $95
5%
↓ 75 $
73%
↓ 70 $
33%
↓ 60 $
2%
↓ 55 $
1%
↓ 52 $
1%
↓ 50 $
1%
↓ 47 $
<1%
↓ 45 $
<1%
↓ 40 $
<1%
↓ 35 $
<1%
$29,457,549 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 175 $
1%
↑ 150 $
1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 120 $
1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
4%
↑ $95
5%
↓ 75 $
73%
↓ 70 $
33%
↓ 60 $
2%
↓ 55 $
1%
↓ 52 $
1%
↓ 50 $
1%
↓ 47 $
<1%
↓ 45 $
<1%
↓ 40 $
<1%
↓ 35 $
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hopes for a U.S.-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, which traded near $76.50 per barrel on June 17 after falling more than 10% in recent sessions amid easing supply disruption fears. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the potential rapid return of Middle East production volumes previously shut in by conflict-related constraints, outweighing longer-term forecasts of global inventory draws from the EIA. With end-of-June resolution approaching, near-term catalysts include any finalization of the memorandum of understanding and related sanctions signals, which could accelerate downward pressure on front-month CL futures if supply expectations firm. Broader demand softness and IEA warnings of future oversupply further anchor sentiment toward lower prices in the immediate window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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