Polymarket traders are split evenly at 41% odds between silver (SI) settling below $75 and $75-$80 in March, reflecting intense debate over Fed policy headwinds versus persistent industrial demand. Hawkish December FOMC projections for just two 2025 rate cuts—down from four—have strengthened the USD index above 107 and lifted 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%, pressuring precious metals lower from recent $32 peaks to $30.95 for March futures. Yet, robust solar and electronics usage provides a demand floor, while gold's record highs signal potential silver catch-up if inflation softens. Key differentiators: Friday's jobs report and January FOMC could tip sentiment, with sub-$75 favored if USD rallies further, or $75-$80 if cuts accelerate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÀ quoi Silver (SI) s'installera-t-il en mars ?
À quoi Silver (SI) s'installera-t-il en mars ?
<75 $ 41%
75-80 $ 38.5%
80 $-85 $ 8.0%
85-90 $ 6.5%
$184,218 Vol.
$184,218 Vol.
<75 $
41%
75-80 $
39%
80 $-85 $
8%
85-90 $
6%
90 à 95 $
4%
95 $ - 100 $
2%
100 $ - 105 $
1%
105-110 $
1%
110 $-115 $
1%
>115 $
1%
<75 $ 41%
75-80 $ 38.5%
80 $-85 $ 8.0%
85-90 $ 6.5%
$184,218 Vol.
$184,218 Vol.
<75 $
41%
75-80 $
39%
80 $-85 $
8%
85-90 $
6%
90 à 95 $
4%
95 $ - 100 $
2%
100 $ - 105 $
1%
105-110 $
1%
110 $-115 $
1%
>115 $
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders are split evenly at 41% odds between silver (SI) settling below $75 and $75-$80 in March, reflecting intense debate over Fed policy headwinds versus persistent industrial demand. Hawkish December FOMC projections for just two 2025 rate cuts—down from four—have strengthened the USD index above 107 and lifted 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%, pressuring precious metals lower from recent $32 peaks to $30.95 for March futures. Yet, robust solar and electronics usage provides a demand floor, while gold's record highs signal potential silver catch-up if inflation softens. Key differentiators: Friday's jobs report and January FOMC could tip sentiment, with sub-$75 favored if USD rallies further, or $75-$80 if cuts accelerate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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