Gold futures (GC) have rallied over 15% year-to-date, trading near $2,325 per ounce amid trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts amid sticky inflation and cooling labor data. Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine bolster safe-haven demand, while central banks—especially China—purchased record volumes in Q1, with May flows remaining robust per World Gold Council data. A weakening US dollar (DXY at 105.5) and declining real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.05%) further support upside. However, Fed's June 12 FOMC held rates steady at 5.25-5.50% with dot plot eyeing just one 2024 cut, capping gains. Traders watch June 28 PCE inflation and July nonfarm payrolls for policy clues, with $2,400 resistance key by month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Qu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,455,319 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
4%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
7%
↑ 6 200 $
10%
↑ 6 000 $
11%
↑ 5 700 $
20%
↑ 5 500 $
29%
↓ 4 200 $
70%
↓ 3 800 $
22%
↓ 3 400 $
11%
$2,455,319 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
4%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
7%
↑ 6 200 $
10%
↑ 6 000 $
11%
↑ 5 700 $
20%
↑ 5 500 $
29%
↓ 4 200 $
70%
↓ 3 800 $
22%
↓ 3 400 $
11%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have rallied over 15% year-to-date, trading near $2,325 per ounce amid trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts amid sticky inflation and cooling labor data. Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine bolster safe-haven demand, while central banks—especially China—purchased record volumes in Q1, with May flows remaining robust per World Gold Council data. A weakening US dollar (DXY at 105.5) and declining real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.05%) further support upside. However, Fed's June 12 FOMC held rates steady at 5.25-5.50% with dot plot eyeing just one 2024 cut, capping gains. Traders watch June 28 PCE inflation and July nonfarm payrolls for policy clues, with $2,400 resistance key by month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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